As predicted the disturbance has started. Actually the solar wind started to rise rapidly on yesterday evening. Just before that (Oct 12) very good CX to Far East (Japan, China) continued from 1130 UTC (more than 4 hrs before local sunset!). Enourmous signals from the common Japanese commercials and also a lot of low band NHKs (e.g. 594,693,774) were present in Southern Finland. While the magnetic field swung into south later on the predicted good conditions to North America seemed to get worse during the morning hours. The predicted disturbance seemed to have been started a bit earlier. That´s Friday and the 13th of the month!